As Melbourne’s property market finds its footing again after years of underperformance, several suburbs stand out as undervalued relative to their growth potential. This blog explores five such suburbs—Carrum Downs, Altona, Albion, Sunshine, and Deer Park—highlighting what makes each a compelling proposition over the next 12–24 months.
Market Context: Melbourne Showing Signs of Rebound
Melbourne has lagged behind capital cities like Perth, Brisbane, and Sydney in terms of property price growth since early 2020. However, recent indicators suggest a shift:
- The Cotality daily price index recorded a 2.8% increase over the past six months, implying a 5.8% annualized return, signaling early growth momentum in 2025.
- Analysts note that Melbourne presents a counter-cyclical opportunity, with prices still relatively affordable, and that infrastructure spending, population growth, and supply constraints are setting the stage for recovery.
With this backdrop, certain suburbs are drawing renewed attention for being undervalued relative to their fundamentals.
Suburb 1: Carrum Downs (SE Melbourne)
Profile & Value Indicators:
Located approximately 36 km southeast of the CBD in the City of Frankston, Carrum Downs has a population nearing 22,000 and a median age of 36.
Market Metrics (Recent 12 Months):
- Houses: +1.4% price growth; Units: +5.4%
- Median house price: ~$702k; Median unit price: ~$560k
- Rents have also grown strongly—houses up ~8.6%, units up ~8.3%
Why It’s Undervalued:
The suburb offers family-friendly amenity, coastal access, and affordable entry pricing—notably well below metropolitan averages—attracting both tenants and value-seeking buyers.
Suburb 2: Altona (West of CBD)
Profile & Market Snapshot:
Altona offers a balanced coastal lifestyle, with environmental attractions such as wetlands, parks, and beach—serving as lifestyle drawcards for aspiring buyers.
Pricing & Rental Data (Aug 2024–July 2025):
- 3-bed houses: Median price ~$1.1M, +5.7% growth; Rental yield ~3%
- Units: Median ~$714k (+4.2%), rental yield ~4.2%
Why It’s Undervalued:
Despite its mid-price point, Altona remains relatively under the radar compared to inner-west coastal suburbs, making it appealing for both long-term capital growth (from its shoreline lifestyle) and rental returns.
Suburb 3: Albion (Emerging Western Corridor)
Growth Signals:
Albion, along with neighboring middle-west suburbs like Keilor Downs and Derrimut, is quietly outperforming expectations thanks to affordability and growing infrastructure.
Why It’s Undervalued:
These areas offer sizeable homes, connectivity, and public amenity—yet are still priced lower than better-known corridors. Rising investor interest suggests change is imminent.
Suburb 4: Sunshine (Western Growth Node)
Market Trend:
Emerging data shows Sunshine among the suburbs where prices have stabilized after prior reductions and are now poised for growth.
Why It’s Undervalued:
Sunshine combines established infrastructure, transit-oriented development, and affordability—providing strong powder-keg potential for value recovery.
Suburb 5: Deer Park (Outer-West Growth)
Profile & Market Metrics:
With a population of over 18,000 and located 17 km west of the CBD, Deer Park benefits from solid growth fundamentals. According to market insights, Deer Park ranks among top outer suburbs—alongside Craigieburn and Caroline Springs—primed for “substantial house price increases” in the coming months.
Why It’s Undervalued:
Plush employment corridors, ongoing infrastructure rollout, and affordability combined with rising buyer interest make Deer Park a dynamic undervalued pick.
Summary Table: Undervalued Suburbs Snapshot
Suburb | Key Strengths | Undervaluation Insight |
---|---|---|
Carrum Downs | Family focus, coastal, price growth & rent surge | Entry pricing vs. amenities and coastal proximity |
Altona | Beachside living, parks, solid yields | Lifestyle value at non-premium price |
Albion | Western corridor, infrastructure, affordability | Undervalued relative to growth potential |
Sunshine | Transit hub, emerging demand, price bottoming | Value ready to rebound |
Deer Park | Outer-west growth, infrastructure, buyer interest | Positioned for imminent uplift |
Broader Market Dynamics & Investor Insight
Melbourne’s recovery is being shaped by affordability, demand, and constrained new supply:
- Median house price for the city stabilized around $1.04 million, up ~0.6% in 2024.
- The city’s growth outlook is stabilizing, buoyed by lower interest rates, infrastructure investment, and population rebound.
- Interstate investors are especially attracted to Melbourne’s relative affordability—a median dwelling is now more affordable relative to Sydney than it has been in nearly 20 years.
This macro environment further supports why these five suburbs—each offering affordability, amenity, and timing advantage—stand out for value-focused buyers.
How Buyers Can Maximize These Opportunities
- Track infrastructure and urban planning horizons—e.g., transit, schools, and local upgrades in suburbs like Albion and Deer Park.
- Consider rental yield and tenant demand, especially in Carrum Downs and Altona, where rental increases signal strong mid-term occupancy.
- Compare pricing to growth potential—Sunshine and Deer Park, for instance, still below long-term value trajectory.
- Monitor supply dynamics—under-construction volumes remain low, boosting long-term supply tightness and price support across growth corridors.
Final Word
Melbourne is waking up from its price stagnation, and these suburbs—Carrum Downs, Altona, Albion, Sunshine, and Deer Park—are emerging as undervalued hotspots with growth upside.
They exemplify affordability paired with strategic fundamentals, offering value for both homebuyers and investors.
Ready to Find the Right Property?
If you’d like expert guidance on buying in Melbourne or Sydney, let’s chat. Book a call with me here.