You’ve been warned—apartment prices across the country are about to jump. In some key areas, we’re likely to see a massive step up.
For years, the conventional wisdom has been that house prices grow faster than apartments. But that’s about to change, and the reason is simple: apartment construction is tanking.
The Data Behind the Shortage
CBRE research has assessed the timing and feasibility of every apartment project in Australia.
In 2023, they sounded the alarm on a looming supply shortage.
Just last week, they downgraded their own forecasts even further.
According to their findings, between now and 2030, Australia is on track to build 20,000 fewer apartments per year than required—a 30% supply shortage annually.
The Areas Hit Hardest
The key areas set to experience the most severe undersupply are:
Sydney’s Inner West and Hills District
Inner East and North Melbourne
North Gold Coast
North Canberra
My research is showing high single-digit to double-digit price growth across suburbs in these areas, with rental yields holding above 4%.
Why Developers Aren’t Building
So, why aren’t developers stepping up?
Higher build costs mean they need higher pre-sale prices.
Buyers are hesitant at those higher prices.
Without pre-sales, developers can’t secure funding.
It’s a catch-22 situation—and it’s driving the price surge.
What This Means for Buyers and Investors
The shortage won’t just affect new apartments—it will spill over into existing apartment stock, pushing prices across the board.
If you’re gearing up to buy, apartments are shaping up to be a smart play for both home buyers and investors—provided you choose the right areas.